H ere's where Tammy lies today . Hurricane Tammy Route ...
and where it's headed: Tammy's center is simply east of Guadeloupe as it approaches the northwest. Tammy has strengthened modestly given that Friday night.
The storm enhanced into a typhoon on Friday early morning in the tropical Atlantic. This is an uncommon location for a typhoon to form this late in the year, according to Dr. Phil Klotzbach, a tropical scientist at Colorado State University.
By early in the week ahead, Tammy must turn northward, then northeastward out to sea and not be an issue for the continental United States.
The route northward far from the Caribbean has actually ended up being less specific. Tammy was initially expected to be caught by a cold front by the middle of the upcoming week, but computer guidance is now suggesting that the storm might wander around between Puerto Rico and Bermuda for some time.
Hurricane Katrina (August 2005) became a large and exceptionally powerful typhoon that caused massive damage and significant loss of life. It is the costliest typhoon to ever hit the United States, going beyond the record formerly held by Cyclone Andrew from 1992.
Typhoon Katrina - Wikipedia
The biggest loss of life in Typhoon Katrina was because of flooding triggered by engineering defects in the flood defense system, particularly the levee around the city of New Orleans. Ultimately, 80% of the city, in addition to large areas in surrounding parishes, were flooded for weeks.
Typhoon warnings have now been issued for numerous islands in the northeast Caribbean. That indicates cyclone conditions are expected in some of these locations. You can see the current warnings and watches in the map listed below.
Heavy rainfall, strong winds and high surf from Tammy ought to spread out throughout the eastern Caribbean islands through Saturday. Those effects will last through at least early Sunday in some areas.
Rainfall overalls could be 4 to 8 inches (in your area approximately 12 inches) in the Leeward Islands. The northern Windward Islands may see 2 to 4 inches of rain (in your area approximately 6 inches). Parts of eastern Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands might see 1 to 2 inches of rainfall (locally up to 4 inches).
T he heavy rainfall could cause flooding and mudslides in some of these locations.
Norma, now a Classification 1 storm since 2 p.m. ET, is anticipated to move over or near parts of Mexico's Baja California Sur-- including Cabo San Lucas-- late Saturday afternoon or early evening, the National Typhoon Center stated.
Air Force Reserve Cyclone Hunters observed Norma's center located offshore just west of Cabo San Lucas on Saturday afternoon, and cyclone and conditions were taking place over some locations of of southern Baja California Sur, according to the hurricane center.
Norma is expected to be slightly weaker by the time it hits land, but it still will be a cyclone that might bring dangerous conditions to a tourist-friendly region that's home to a couple of hundred thousand people, the hurricane center said.
In the Atlantic Ocean, on the other hand, Hurricane Tammy-- a Category 1 storm since Saturday afternoon-- has activated typhoon warnings for portions of the Leeward Islands, a chain of numerous island countries and areas between the Caribbean Sea and the open Atlantic. Tammy's winds picked up speed to 85 mph.
Neither storm is a risk to the United States.
In the Atlantic, Tammy preserved maximum continual winds of 85 miles per hour and was focused about 25 miles north-northeast of Guadeloupe, the National Hurricane Center stated at 2 p.m. ET.
The Classification 1 cyclone was located about 50 miles southeast of Antigua by Saturday afternoon, the hurricane center said.
Tammy is expected to move near or over parts of the Leeward Islands-- consisting of Guadeloupe and Antigua and Barbuda-- through Saturday night, and after that move north of the northern Leeward Islands on Sunday.
Hurricane-force winds extended outward up to 25 miles from the storm's center and tropical storm-force winds extended external approximately 125 miles.
Hurricanes in this part of the Atlantic are rare for late October. Tammy is only the 3rd hurricane to form this far southeast in the Atlantic because 1900, according to hurricane expert Michael Lowry.
It's likewise the latest-forming hurricane in this part of the Atlantic given that 1966, according to Phil Klotzbach, a research study scientist in the Department of Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University.
Cyclone specialists previously alerted typhoons might form in unusual areas later in the season this year because of the remarkably warm Atlantic Ocean.
A storm rise of 1 to 3 feet is possible for parts of the Leeward Islands.
Heavy rainfall will be one of the storm's most severe dangers and could result in flash flooding and mudslides. Rainfall totals for the Leeward Islands are anticipated to be 4 to 8 inches, however might reach a foot in places where the heaviest rain sets up. Rain should be lighter in Puerto Rico and the British and US Virgin Islands, where 1 to 2 inches of rain is most likely.
Conditions will begin to enhance from south to north across the island chain by late Sunday as the storm moves north out of the area.
With Tammy in the Atlantic, only 2 names are left-- Vince and Whitney-- on the standard Atlantic storm name list before the typhoon center turns to an alternate list of names.
Hurricane Tammy